Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005557 0.006132 0.006727 0.007387 0.008098 0.008839 0.009669
2024-12-29 0.004762 0.005601 0.006512 0.007570 0.008760 0.010053 0.011562
2025-01-05 0.004304 0.005302 0.006424 0.007769 0.009330 0.011074 0.013163
2025-01-12 0.003760 0.004830 0.006069 0.007599 0.009421 0.011507 0.014063
2025-01-19 0.003390 0.004519 0.005863 0.007563 0.009634 0.012055 0.015076
2025-01-26 0.003048 0.004207 0.005624 0.007458 0.009738 0.012454 0.015899
2025-02-02 0.002793 0.003983 0.005472 0.007437 0.009929 0.012944 0.016828
2025-02-09 0.002563 0.003770 0.005315 0.007396 0.010079 0.013376 0.017681
2025-02-16 0.002446 0.003697 0.005330 0.007566 0.010493 0.014136 0.018948
2025-02-23 0.002237 0.003483 0.005144 0.007461 0.010542 0.014430 0.019628
2025-03-02 0.002091 0.003347 0.005054 0.007473 0.010738 0.014907 0.020542
2025-03-09 0.002044 0.003347 0.005146 0.007730 0.011258 0.015808 0.022011
2025-03-16 0.001940 0.003260 0.005116 0.007825 0.011570 0.016454 0.023177
2025-03-23 0.001874 0.003225 0.005158 0.008018 0.012019 0.017289 0.024604
2025-03-30 0.001818 0.003202 0.005213 0.008227 0.012490 0.018158 0.026089
2025-04-06 0.001655 0.003003 0.005003 0.008048 0.012418 0.018293 0.026597
2025-04-13 0.001545 0.002879 0.004895 0.008011 0.012537 0.018684 0.027450
2025-04-20 0.001425 0.002731 0.004743 0.007901 0.012545 0.018921 0.028092
2025-04-27 0.001336 0.002629 0.004655 0.007879 0.012678 0.019325 0.028965
2025-05-04 0.001249 0.002523 0.004555 0.007836 0.012773 0.019678 0.029768
2025-05-11 0.001217 0.002510 0.004601 0.008014 0.013196 0.020493 0.031222
2025-05-18 0.001126 0.002387 0.004464 0.007904 0.013187 0.020697 0.031825
2025-05-25 0.001066 0.002316 0.004409 0.007917 0.013360 0.021159 0.032794